The outlook for gold under Bessent appears mixed. His pro-dollar stance could weigh on gold prices, as a stronger dollar tends to reduce the metal’s appeal. Moreover, his disinflationary approach – emphasizing controlled rates and gradual fiscal adjustment – could limit gold’s attractiveness as an inflation hedge. However, geopolitical uncertainties and residual inflation fears could keep gold prices in range in the near term.
What is the outlook for stocks?
Share prices have risen following Bessent’s appointment, with investors confident in his ability to balance fiscal discipline with pro-growth policies. Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors emphasized his credibility in the market, calling Bessent’s appointment a reinforcement of the “Trump put” – the administration’s tacit support for a strong stock market. Sectors related to deregulation and domestic energy production will benefit most under his leadership.
Market forecast: a stronger dollar, stable returns, stock gains and muted gold movement
Bessent’s policies are likely to strengthen the dollar in the short term, in line with his focus on global investor confidence and fiscal stability. Treasury yields should remain stable as its growth-oriented strategies boost bond demand while limiting inflation fears. Stocks may increase their gains as markets continue to price in deregulation and economic growth. Meanwhile, gold is expected to face headwinds from a stronger dollar and subdued inflation expectations, although lingering uncertainties could provide support in the near term.
Traders should remain vigilant for shifts in Trump’s broader trade and budget agenda that could trigger unexpected volatility in these asset classes.